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Why Trust PropBetGuy

Why Trust PropBetGuy?

Smart picks. Transparent results. Years of winning experience.

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70%+ hit rate on top picks across NBA and NFL seasons.

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Every pick backed by matchup modeling and stat trends.

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Years of experience finding value in prop markets.

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Daily win/loss records—no smoke, no mirrors.

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Picks include player trends, opponent weaknesses, and game context.

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Dominic Smith

Total Bases – Over

✅ Hit in 10 straight games
📈 +10.50 Units / 74% ROI
🔥 Facing a Nationals bullpen ranked last in ERA
🧠 Smith’s contact rate and recent slugging make him a strong candidate to rack up bases, especially with favorable matchups in the middle innings.

James Wood

Hits + Runs + RBIs – Under

❌ Hit the under in 20 of last 25 games
📉 +14.35 Units / 47% ROI
🧊 Struggles against left-handed pitching
🧠 Wood’s recent plate discipline issues and low hard-hit rate suggest limited production, especially against Whisenhunt’s deceptive off-speed arsenal.

Casey Schmitt

Home Runs – Over

💣 HR in 2 of last 4 games
🚀 +12.20 Units / 305% ROI
🎯 Pull-side power surge vs righties
🧠 Schmitt’s launch angle and barrel rate have spiked, and he’s facing a pitcher who’s allowed 5 HRs in his last 3 starts—ideal conditions for a long ball.

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